YEARLY HIGH
7.9163 RUB
YEARLY LOW
7.0750 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.3949 RUB

2019 SVC to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the SVC to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 7.9163. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 7.0750.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8413 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.6259 to the December average rate of 7.1844, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 7.9163 was down 1.80% compared to the 2018 peak of 8.0618, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 39,582 RUB
2018 Average 35,898 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 35,375 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,206.46 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

7.6700
7.1403
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.4543, compared to 7.3355 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1188 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.4543
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.3355

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.4348 RUB (High: 7.9163 / Low: 7.4816). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1089 RUB (High: 7.3582 / Low: 7.2493).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4348
November Spread (Stable) ±0.1089

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1135 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1135

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 7.6259) against the same month in 2018 (average: 6.4770), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1488 (+17.74%).

2019 Avg (January) 7.6259
2018 Avg (January) 6.4770

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.9163 7.4816 7.6259
February 7.6158 7.4708 7.5169
March 7.6067 7.2909 7.4579
April 7.4763 7.2793 7.3790
May 7.4797 7.3462 7.4181
June 7.5313 7.1530 7.3278
July 7.2955 7.1627 7.2274
August 7.7029 7.3505 7.5326
September 7.6346 7.2864 7.4213
October 7.4849 7.2781 7.3493
November 7.3582 7.2493 7.2979
December 7.3646 7.0750 7.1844