YEARLY HIGH
8.0618 RUB
YEARLY LOW
6.3609 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.1760 RUB

2018 SVC to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SVC to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 8.0618. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 26, dropping to 6.3609.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7009 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.4770 to the December average rate of 7.7264, the exchange rate registered a net change of 19.29% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 8.0618 was up 15.25% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.9951, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 40,309 RUB
2017 Average 33,331 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 31,805 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,504.52 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

7.8513
6.3521
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.7910, compared to 7.5609 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7699 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.7910
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.5609

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.6603 RUB (High: 7.1950 / Low: 6.5347). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1693 RUB (High: 6.6210 / Low: 6.4517).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.6603
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1693

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1942 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1942

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 7.7245) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.5820), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1425 (+17.36%).

2018 Avg (September) 7.7245
2017 Avg (September) 6.5820

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.5990 6.3915 6.4770
February 6.6679 6.3609 6.4979
March 6.6210 6.4517 6.5302
April 7.1950 6.5347 6.9460
May 7.2899 6.9915 7.1226
June 7.2960 7.0504 7.1725
July 7.2717 7.0585 7.1820
August 7.7971 7.1957 7.5946
September 8.0618 7.4876 7.7245
October 7.6475 7.4263 7.5303
November 7.7652 7.4959 7.6077
December 7.9590 7.5783 7.7264