YEARLY HIGH
7.3668 STD
YEARLY LOW
6.7095 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.1119 STD

2014 UGX to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the UGX to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 6, valuing the pair at 7.3668. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 13, dropping to 6.7095.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6573 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.1998 to the December average rate of 7.1964, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.05% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 7.3668 was down 0.78% compared to the 2013 peak of 7.4251, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 36,834 STD
2013 Average 35,724 STD
Yearly Trough Low 33,548 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,286.28 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

7.3155
6.8270
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.0926, compared to 7.1312 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0386 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.0926
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.1312

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was February, with a trading range of 0.3021 STD (High: 7.3440 / Low: 7.0420). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0940 STD (High: 7.0686 / Low: 6.9747).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.3021
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0940

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2751 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2751

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2014: 7.2285) against the same month in 2013 (average: 7.0957), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1328 (+1.87%).

2014 Avg (October) 7.2285
2013 Avg (October) 7.0957

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.2956 7.0520 7.1998
February 7.3440 7.0420 7.2748
March 7.1016 6.9336 6.9997
April 7.0686 6.9747 7.0274
May 7.1092 6.9689 7.0564
June 7.0717 6.9037 6.9976
July 6.9721 6.7095 6.8677
August 7.1464 6.9771 7.0493
September 7.2994 7.1424 7.2510
October 7.3668 7.1146 7.2285
November 7.3174 7.0823 7.1945
December 7.3072 7.0485 7.1964