YEARLY HIGH
6.4436 STD
YEARLY LOW
5.8925 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.0572 STD

2026 UGX to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the UGX to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 6.4436. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 19, dropping to 5.8925.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5511 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.2448 to the December average rate of 6.0204, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 6.4436 was down 1.31% compared to the 2025 peak of 6.5292, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,218 STD
2025 Average 30,946 STD
Yearly Trough Low 29,463 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,755.48 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

6.2840
5.8824
JanuMarcMayJuly

UGX to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.0633, compared to 6.0204 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0429 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.0633
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.0204

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 0.2991 STD (High: 6.4436 / Low: 6.1445). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0620 STD (High: 5.9620 / Low: 5.9000).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2991
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0620

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2739 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2739

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 6.2448) against the same month in 2025 (average: 6.0418), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2029 (+3.36%).

2026 Avg (January) 6.2448
2025 Avg (January) 6.0418

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.4436 6.1445 6.2448
February 6.3137 6.1831 6.2505
March 6.1909 5.8925 5.9766
April 6.0540 5.9322 5.9938
May 5.9620 5.9000 5.9159
June 6.1242 5.9105 5.9981
July 6.1030 5.9090 6.0204