YEARLY HIGH
6.5065 STD
YEARLY LOW
5.6250 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.0112 STD

2017 UGX to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the UGX to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 22, valuing the pair at 6.5065. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 10, dropping to 5.6250.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8815 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.3827 to the December average rate of 5.7026, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 6.5065 was down 3.47% compared to the 2016 peak of 6.7405, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,533 STD
2016 Average 32,404 STD
Yearly Trough Low 28,125 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,407.41 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

6.4900
5.6212
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.2767, compared to 5.7457 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5310 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.2767
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.7457

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was July, with a trading range of 0.2722 STD (High: 6.0094 / Low: 5.7371). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1144 STD (High: 5.7677 / Low: 5.6532).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.2722
November Spread (Stable) ±0.1144

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2017. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1875 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1875

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2017: 6.4176) against the same month in 2016 (average: 6.4595), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0419 (-0.65%).

2017 Avg (February) 6.4176
2016 Avg (February) 6.4595

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.4916 6.2909 6.3827
February 6.5065 6.2867 6.4176
March 6.4893 6.2324 6.3517
April 6.3731 6.1347 6.3032
May 6.2246 6.0155 6.1235
June 6.1305 5.9873 6.0816
July 6.0094 5.7371 5.8941
August 5.8172 5.6594 5.7402
September 5.7728 5.6250 5.6936
October 5.7930 5.6738 5.7250
November 5.7677 5.6532 5.7185
December 5.7656 5.6280 5.7026