2016 UGX to STD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6.7405 STD

YEARLY LOW

6.1866 STD

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.4803 STD

2016 UGX to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 2, valuing the pair at 6.7405. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 24, dropping to 6.1866.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5539 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.5426 to the December average rate of 6.4652, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.18% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 6.7405 was down 15.61% compared to the 2015 peak of 7.9868, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,702 STD

2015 Average 34,345 STD

Yearly Trough Low 30,933 STD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,769.60 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

6.5751

6.3574

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.4928, compared to 6.4678 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0251 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.4928

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.4678

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.3501 STD (High: 6.5366 / Low: 6.1866). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0793 STD (High: 6.5152 / Low: 6.4359).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.3501

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0793

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1021 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1021

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 6.5570) against the same month in 2015 (average: 7.6834), the exchange rate shifted by -1.1265 (-14.66%).

2016 Avg (March) 6.5570

2015 Avg (March) 7.6834

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.6873	6.4572	6.5426
February	6.6531	6.3367	6.4595
March	6.7405	6.4039	6.5570
April	6.5569	6.3686	6.4549
May	6.5348	6.3983	6.4721
June	6.5366	6.1866	6.4710
July	6.5998	6.4728	6.5482
August	6.5593	6.4146	6.4832
September	6.5152	6.4359	6.4652
October	6.5431	6.3786	6.4693
November	6.4535	6.2988	6.3756
December	6.6261	6.3239	6.4652

2016 UGX నుండి STD చారిత్రక సమీక్ష