YEARLY HIGH
0.2573 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.2160 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2259 BAM

2016 TJS to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TJS to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.2573. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 2, dropping to 0.2160.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0413 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2440 to the December average rate of 0.2358, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.2573 was down 23.94% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.3383, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,287 BAM
2015 Average 1,440 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 1,080 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 206.64 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.2465
0.2167
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2253, compared to 0.2266 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0013 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2253
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2266

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0271 BAM (High: 0.2573 / Low: 0.2303). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0036 BAM (High: 0.2236 / Low: 0.2200).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0271
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0036

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0199 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0199

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.2440) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3186), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0745 (-23.39%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.2440
2015 Avg (January) 0.3186

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2573 0.2303 0.2440
February 0.2293 0.2207 0.2242
March 0.2286 0.2187 0.2232
April 0.2214 0.2173 0.2192
May 0.2237 0.2160 0.2200
June 0.2251 0.2182 0.2211
July 0.2264 0.2226 0.2247
August 0.2243 0.2195 0.2220
September 0.2236 0.2200 0.2217
October 0.2285 0.2214 0.2252
November 0.2351 0.2231 0.2303
December 0.2395 0.2310 0.2358