YEARLY HIGH
0.1873 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.1798 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1834 BAM

2019 TJS to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the TJS to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 1, valuing the pair at 0.1873. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 13, dropping to 0.1798.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0075 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1815 to the December average rate of 0.1818, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.12% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.1873 was down 0.53% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.1883, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 936 BAM
2018 Average 905 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 899 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 37.61 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.1858
0.1812
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1835, compared to 0.1833 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0003 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1835
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1833

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.0059 BAM (High: 0.1873 / Low: 0.1814). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0018 BAM (High: 0.1862 / Low: 0.1845).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0059
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0018

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0017 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0017

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 0.1846) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.1799), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0047 (+2.63%).

2019 Avg (August) 0.1846
2018 Avg (August) 0.1799

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1828 0.1798 0.1815
February 0.1839 0.1808 0.1826
March 0.1848 0.1819 0.1834
April 0.1863 0.1832 0.1845
May 0.1862 0.1845 0.1854
June 0.1860 0.1821 0.1837
July 0.1863 0.1827 0.1848
August 0.1873 0.1814 0.1846
September 0.1848 0.1820 0.1833
October 0.1852 0.1808 0.1826
November 0.1837 0.1807 0.1825
December 0.1836 0.1798 0.1818