YEARLY HIGH
1.0643 MAD
YEARLY LOW
0.9912 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0266 MAD

2018 TJS to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TJS to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 1.0643. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 24, dropping to 0.9912.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0731 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0492 to the December average rate of 1.0123, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.0643 was down 17.91% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.2965, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,322 MAD
2017 Average 5,660 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 4,956 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 365.62 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.0548
0.9930
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0446, compared to 1.0086 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0360 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0446
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0086

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0356 MAD (High: 1.0359 / Low: 1.0003). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0112 MAD (High: 1.0024 / Low: 0.9912).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0356
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0112

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0283 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0283

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1.0492) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.2735), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2244 (-17.62%).

2018 Avg (January) 1.0492
2017 Avg (January) 1.2735

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0643 1.0369 1.0492
February 1.0502 1.0334 1.0417
March 1.0467 1.0349 1.0412
April 1.0461 1.0333 1.0404
May 1.0634 1.0397 1.0496
June 1.0570 1.0342 1.0454
July 1.0359 1.0003 1.0171
August 1.0163 0.9947 1.0072
September 1.0024 0.9912 0.9981
October 1.0155 1.0015 1.0068
November 1.0180 1.0039 1.0099
December 1.0207 1.0057 1.0123