YEARLY HIGH
50.9679 KES
YEARLY LOW
43.7881 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
47.4231 KES

2016 TND to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TND to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 11, valuing the pair at 50.9679. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 43.7881.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.1798 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 50.1025 to the December average rate of 44.2300, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 50.9679 was down 6.14% compared to the 2015 peak of 54.3014, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TND based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 254,840 KES
2015 Average 250,379 KES
Yearly Trough Low 218,940 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 35,899.24 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

51.0331
43.6115
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TND to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 49.4929, compared to 45.3533 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.1396 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 49.4929
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 45.3533

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 2.8956 KES (High: 50.6865 / Low: 47.7909). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2990 KES (High: 46.1216 / Low: 45.8226).

May Spread (Volatile) ±2.8956
September Spread (Stable) ±0.2990

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 2.2290 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.2290

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 50.4146) against the same month in 2015 (average: 47.3827), the exchange rate shifted by +3.0320 (+6.40%).

2016 Avg (February) 50.4146
2015 Avg (February) 47.3827

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 50.3672 49.8100 50.1025
February 50.9679 49.8170 50.4146
March 50.6631 49.4869 50.1014
April 50.7005 49.9507 50.3004
May 50.6865 47.7909 49.1338
June 47.9710 45.9725 46.9048
July 46.1665 45.3127 45.7867
August 46.3881 45.7323 46.0516
September 46.1216 45.8226 45.9468
October 46.0323 44.8479 45.3327
November 45.7253 44.1848 44.7723
December 44.6035 43.7881 44.2300