YEARLY HIGH
42.9570 KES
YEARLY LOW
34.1598 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
38.6389 KES

2018 TND to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TND to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 42.9570. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 34.1598.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.7973 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 42.0743 to the December average rate of 34.7405, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.43% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 42.9570 was down 6.18% compared to the 2017 peak of 45.7859, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TND based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 214,785 KES
2017 Average 214,819 KES
Yearly Trough Low 170,799 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 43,986.28 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

43.0995
33.9806
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TND to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 41.1541, compared to 36.1237 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 5.0305 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 41.1541
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 36.1237

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 1.8342 KES (High: 42.2059 / Low: 40.3717). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5499 KES (High: 35.5972 / Low: 35.0474).

April Spread (Volatile) ±1.8342
November Spread (Stable) ±0.5499

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 1.5079 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.5079

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 42.3396) against the same month in 2017 (average: 45.2976), the exchange rate shifted by -2.9580 (-6.53%).

2018 Avg (February) 42.3396
2017 Avg (February) 45.2976

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 42.8809 41.0675 42.0743
February 42.9570 41.5789 42.3396
March 42.5754 41.3235 42.0959
April 42.2059 40.3717 41.4438
May 41.1741 39.4047 39.9360
June 39.5515 38.3998 39.0352
July 38.6516 37.3506 38.1776
August 37.4301 36.2233 36.6856
September 36.5410 35.9530 36.2886
October 35.9418 35.3122 35.6033
November 35.5972 35.0474 35.2464
December 35.1010 34.1598 34.7405