YEARLY HIGH
40.8885 KES
YEARLY LOW
38.3831 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
39.4885 KES

2021 TND to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the TND to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 40.8885. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 10, dropping to 38.3831.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5054 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 40.7420 to the December average rate of 39.2731, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 40.8885 was down 1.46% compared to the 2020 peak of 41.4950, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TND based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 204,442 KES
2020 Average 189,963 KES
Yearly Trough Low 191,916 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,526.76 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

40.9337
38.6340
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TND to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 39.7752, compared to 39.2018 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5734 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 39.7752
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 39.2018

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 1.1976 KES (High: 39.5807 / Low: 38.3831). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3215 KES (High: 40.8885 / Low: 40.5669).

April Spread (Volatile) ±1.1976
January Spread (Stable) ±0.3215

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.7521 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7521

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 40.7420) against the same month in 2020 (average: 35.9425), the exchange rate shifted by +4.7996 (+13.35%).

2021 Avg (January) 40.7420
2020 Avg (January) 35.9425

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 40.8885 40.5669 40.7420
February 40.7880 40.0992 40.4236
March 40.2385 39.2136 39.8356
April 39.5807 38.3831 39.0835
May 39.7831 38.8869 39.3505
June 39.6307 38.8535 39.2162
July 38.9681 38.6444 38.8256
August 39.4237 38.9072 39.2056
September 39.5853 39.2417 39.4251
October 39.5645 38.9635 39.2523
November 39.5674 38.7626 39.2292
December 39.7610 39.0432 39.2731