2012 TRY to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

54.0509 RSD

YEARLY LOW

43.1010 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

48.8058 RSD

2012 TRY to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the TRY to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 2, valuing the pair at 54.0509. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 43.1010.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.9499 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 44.1929 to the December average rate of 48.3407, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.39% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 54.0509 was up 3.61% compared to the 2011 peak of 52.1671, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,702,544 RSD

2011 Average 2,184,870 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 2,155,050 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 547,494.81 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

53.8299

43.3168

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 47.3831, compared to 50.2284 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.8454 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 47.3831

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 50.2284

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 3.0625 RSD (High: 51.0870 / Low: 48.0245). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9895 RSD (High: 51.0343 / Low: 50.0448).

May Spread (Volatile) ±3.0625

June Spread (Stable) ±0.9895

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 2.8356 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.8356

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2012: 52.9538) against the same month in 2011 (average: 40.5454), the exchange rate shifted by +12.4085 (+30.60%).

2012 Avg (August) 52.9538

2011 Avg (August) 40.5454

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	45.3619	43.1010	44.1929
February	47.1255	45.2834	46.4467
March	47.3237	45.9525	46.8295
April	48.0036	46.6571	47.3456
May	51.0870	48.0245	48.9712
June	51.0343	50.0448	50.5127
July	53.5734	50.6253	52.2784
August	54.0509	51.6403	52.9538
September	51.7223	48.9214	50.1182
October	49.9676	47.2709	48.6445
November	49.8740	48.0349	49.0349
December	49.2312	47.6013	48.3407