YEARLY HIGH
46.6102 RSD
YEARLY LOW
34.8214 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
40.1349 RSD

2015 TRY to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the TRY to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 24, valuing the pair at 46.6102. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 14, dropping to 34.8214.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.7888 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 45.0641 to the December average rate of 38.2650, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 46.6102 was up 6.40% compared to the 2014 peak of 43.8066, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,330,509 RSD
2014 Average 2,021,019 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 1,741,068 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 589,441.13 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

46.0282
34.4581
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 42.3128, compared to 37.9569 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.3559 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 42.3128
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 37.9569

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was August, with a trading range of 4.1805 RSD (High: 39.6283 / Low: 35.4478). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.4787 RSD (High: 43.5757 / Low: 42.0970).

August Spread (Volatile) ±4.1805
March Spread (Stable) ±1.4787

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 2.5940 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.5940

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 45.0641) against the same month in 2014 (average: 38.1966), the exchange rate shifted by +6.8675 (+17.98%).

2015 Avg (January) 45.0641
2014 Avg (January) 38.1966

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 46.6102 42.8018 45.0641
February 44.6425 42.6953 43.3686
March 43.5757 42.0970 42.8636
April 42.9184 40.2023 41.8963
May 42.1810 39.5467 40.8483
June 41.1746 38.9169 39.8360
July 41.7406 39.2874 40.4980
August 39.6283 35.4478 37.9040
September 36.4916 34.8214 35.4223
October 37.7639 35.3194 36.5826
November 40.0307 37.9013 39.0697
December 39.6329 37.3934 38.2650