YEARLY HIGH
5.9418 RSD
YEARLY LOW
3.5812 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.7049 RSD

2023 TRY to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the TRY to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 5.9418. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 3.5812.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.3606 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.7939 to the December average rate of 3.6888, the exchange rate registered a net change of -36.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 5.9418 was down 25.05% compared to the 2022 peak of 7.9279, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 297,090 RSD
2022 Average 340,146 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 179,061 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 118,028.49 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

6.0296
3.4760
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.4902, compared to 3.9195 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.5707 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.4902
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.9195

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was June, with a trading range of 1.1093 RSD (High: 5.2238 / Low: 4.1145). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0504 RSD (High: 4.0925 / Low: 4.0421).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.1093
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0504

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2023. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.8769 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8769

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 5.7939) against the same month in 2022 (average: 7.6762), the exchange rate shifted by -1.8823 (-24.52%).

2023 Avg (January) 5.7939
2022 Avg (January) 7.6762

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.9418 5.7156 5.7939
February 5.8943 5.6648 5.8168
March 5.8771 5.6091 5.7623
April 5.6423 5.4268 5.5270
May 5.5209 5.2820 5.4590
June 5.2238 4.1145 4.5821
July 4.1707 3.8727 4.0059
August 4.1921 3.9373 3.9943
September 4.0925 4.0421 4.0671
October 4.0746 3.9055 3.9800
November 3.9075 3.6851 3.7811
December 3.7643 3.5812 3.6888