2018 TRY to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

26.4158 RSD

YEARLY LOW

14.8880 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

21.2714 RSD

2018 TRY to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TRY to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 26.4158. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 14.8880.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.5278 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 25.7823 to the December average rate of 19.5763, the exchange rate registered a net change of -24.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 26.4158 was down 20.68% compared to the 2017 peak of 33.3037, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,320,788 RSD

2017 Average 1,477,888 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 744,400 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 576,387.88 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

26.7513

15.1233

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 23.9789, compared to 18.5640 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 5.4149 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 23.9789

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 18.5640

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 5.4136 RSD (High: 20.3016 / Low: 14.8880). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3597 RSD (High: 25.4377 / Low: 25.0780).

August Spread (Volatile) ±5.4136

February Spread (Stable) ±0.3597

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 3.7855 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.7855

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 25.7823) against the same month in 2017 (average: 31.1339), the exchange rate shifted by -5.3516 (-17.19%).

2018 Avg (January) 25.7823

2017 Avg (January) 31.1339

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	26.4158	25.3038	25.7823
February	25.4377	25.0780	25.3157
March	25.2119	23.9805	24.6265
April	24.3136	23.0702	23.7058
May	23.8152	21.1928	22.5956
June	22.3982	21.4518	21.8476
July	21.9748	20.5162	21.1644
August	20.3016	14.8880	17.3789
September	16.9232	15.2953	16.0923
October	19.0381	16.6476	17.7558
November	20.0697	18.7640	19.4161
December	20.0883	19.3407	19.5763