2011 UGX to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0457 ALL

YEARLY LOW

0.0343 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0402 ALL

2011 UGX to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 0.0457. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 29, dropping to 0.0343.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0114 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0446 to the December average rate of 0.0429, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.86% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.0457 was down 11.05% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.0514, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 228 ALL

2010 Average 239 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 171 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 57.04 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.0455

0.0345

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0421, compared to 0.0382 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0039 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0421

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0382

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 0.0047 ALL (High: 0.0414 / Low: 0.0366). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0012 ALL (High: 0.0384 / Low: 0.0372).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0047

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0012

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0024 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0024

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.0446) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.0501), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0055 (-10.98%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.0446

2010 Avg (January) 0.0501

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0457	0.0434	0.0446
February	0.0444	0.0429	0.0436
March	0.0426	0.0411	0.0418
April	0.0421	0.0403	0.0413
May	0.0422	0.0402	0.0414
June	0.0414	0.0366	0.0403
July	0.0384	0.0372	0.0378
August	0.0373	0.0343	0.0354
September	0.0370	0.0349	0.0362
October	0.0393	0.0354	0.0367
November	0.0416	0.0389	0.0403
December	0.0449	0.0405	0.0429