2014 UGX to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0421 ALL

YEARLY LOW

0.0387 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0406 ALL

2014 UGX to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the UGX to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 5, valuing the pair at 0.0421. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 13, dropping to 0.0387.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0034 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0413 to the December average rate of 0.0411, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.0421 was down 1.55% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.0428, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 211 ALL

2013 Average 204 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 194 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 17.16 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.0419

0.0390

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0406, compared to 0.0407 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0406

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0407

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was February, with a trading range of 0.0018 ALL (High: 0.0421 / Low: 0.0403). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0006 ALL (High: 0.0404 / Low: 0.0398).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0018

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0006

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0016 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0016

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2014: 0.0411) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.0408), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0004 (+0.89%).

2014 Avg (October) 0.0411

2013 Avg (October) 0.0408

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0420	0.0404	0.0413
February	0.0421	0.0403	0.0417
March	0.0405	0.0396	0.0401
April	0.0404	0.0398	0.0401
May	0.0406	0.0399	0.0403
June	0.0404	0.0395	0.0400
July	0.0398	0.0387	0.0393
August	0.0406	0.0397	0.0401
September	0.0418	0.0406	0.0415
October	0.0421	0.0404	0.0411
November	0.0417	0.0405	0.0410
December	0.0417	0.0403	0.0411