2016 UGX to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0379 ALL

YEARLY LOW

0.0349 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0363 ALL

2016 UGX to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 2, valuing the pair at 0.0379. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 7, dropping to 0.0349.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0031 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0369 to the December average rate of 0.0356, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0379 was down 17.03% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0457, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 190 ALL

2015 Average 196 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 174 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 15.26 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0371

0.0352

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0367, compared to 0.0360 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0367

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0360

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0021 ALL (High: 0.0376 / Low: 0.0355). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0003 ALL (High: 0.0363 / Low: 0.0360).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0021

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0003

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0007 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0007

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 0.0370) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0440), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0071 (-16.05%).

2016 Avg (March) 0.0370

2015 Avg (March) 0.0440

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0376	0.0364	0.0369
February	0.0376	0.0355	0.0364
March	0.0379	0.0363	0.0370
April	0.0371	0.0362	0.0366
May	0.0369	0.0362	0.0366
June	0.0368	0.0361	0.0365
July	0.0367	0.0362	0.0365
August	0.0366	0.0358	0.0362
September	0.0365	0.0360	0.0362
October	0.0363	0.0360	0.0361
November	0.0358	0.0351	0.0354
December	0.0363	0.0349	0.0356