2018 UGX to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0306 ALL

YEARLY LOW

0.0277 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0290 ALL

2018 UGX to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 0.0306. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 26, dropping to 0.0277.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0029 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0301 to the December average rate of 0.0292, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.86% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0306 was down 14.52% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0358, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 153 ALL

2017 Average 165 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 139 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 14.69 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0303

0.0280

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0290, compared to 0.0290 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0290

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0290

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0015 ALL (High: 0.0293 / Low: 0.0278). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0005 ALL (High: 0.0288 / Low: 0.0283).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0015

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0007 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0007

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.0301) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0355), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0054 (-15.22%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.0301

2017 Avg (January) 0.0355

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0306	0.0295	0.0301
February	0.0300	0.0292	0.0295
March	0.0297	0.0286	0.0291
April	0.0288	0.0283	0.0285
May	0.0291	0.0285	0.0288
June	0.0286	0.0277	0.0282
July	0.0293	0.0278	0.0287
August	0.0296	0.0286	0.0292
September	0.0290	0.0281	0.0286
October	0.0293	0.0285	0.0288
November	0.0296	0.0290	0.0293
December	0.0296	0.0289	0.0292