YEARLY HIGH
0.0365 BDT
YEARLY LOW
0.0297 BDT
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0328 BDT

2012 UGX to BDT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the UGX to BDT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 7, valuing the pair at 0.0365. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.0297.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0068 BDT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0345 to the December average rate of 0.0302, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.49% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.0365 was up 9.03% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.0334, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 182 BDT
2011 Average 147 BDT
Yearly Trough Low 148 BDT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 33.98 BDT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.0361
0.0297
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to BDT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0336, compared to 0.0319 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0018 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0336
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0319

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.0034 BDT (High: 0.0364 / Low: 0.0330). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 BDT (High: 0.0333 / Low: 0.0329).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0034
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2012. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0026 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0026

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 0.0356) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.0303), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0053 (+17.48%).

2012 Avg (February) 0.0356
2011 Avg (February) 0.0303

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0364 0.0330 0.0345
February 0.0365 0.0334 0.0356
March 0.0335 0.0319 0.0330
April 0.0330 0.0325 0.0327
May 0.0335 0.0327 0.0331
June 0.0332 0.0327 0.0330
July 0.0333 0.0329 0.0331
August 0.0329 0.0323 0.0327
September 0.0327 0.0320 0.0325
October 0.0319 0.0313 0.0315
November 0.0316 0.0302 0.0311
December 0.0304 0.0297 0.0302