YEARLY HIGH
0.0282 BDT
YEARLY LOW
0.0211 BDT
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0243 BDT

2015 UGX to BDT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the UGX to BDT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.0282. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 0.0211.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0071 BDT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0273 to the December average rate of 0.0233, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.0282 was down 11.09% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.0317, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 141 BDT
2014 Average 149 BDT
Yearly Trough Low 105 BDT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 35.42 BDT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.0279
0.0206
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to BDT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0262, compared to 0.0223 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0039 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0262
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0223

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 0.0018 BDT (High: 0.0238 / Low: 0.0220). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 BDT (High: 0.0213 / Low: 0.0211).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0018
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0015 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0015

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 0.0273) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.0311), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0037 (-12.04%).

2015 Avg (January) 0.0273
2014 Avg (January) 0.0311

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0282 0.0268 0.0273
February 0.0273 0.0269 0.0271
March 0.0270 0.0258 0.0264
April 0.0262 0.0258 0.0260
May 0.0260 0.0255 0.0259
June 0.0254 0.0236 0.0244
July 0.0238 0.0220 0.0232
August 0.0227 0.0213 0.0220
September 0.0213 0.0211 0.0212
October 0.0220 0.0211 0.0214
November 0.0234 0.0219 0.0228
December 0.0237 0.0225 0.0233