YEARLY HIGH
0.0229 BDT
YEARLY LOW
0.0215 BDT
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0225 BDT

2018 UGX to BDT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to BDT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 30, valuing the pair at 0.0229. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 1, dropping to 0.0215.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0015 BDT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0228 to the December average rate of 0.0226, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.03% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0229 was down 1.81% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0234, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 115 BDT
2017 Average 112 BDT
Yearly Trough Low 107 BDT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7.43 BDT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0229
0.0220
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to BDT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0226, compared to 0.0224 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0002 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0226
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0224

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0015 BDT (High: 0.0229 / Low: 0.0215). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 BDT (High: 0.0225 / Low: 0.0223).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0015
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0007 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0007

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.0228) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0219), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0009 (+4.05%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.0228
2017 Avg (January) 0.0219

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0229 0.0226 0.0228
February 0.0229 0.0227 0.0229
March 0.0229 0.0225 0.0227
April 0.0228 0.0225 0.0226
May 0.0228 0.0224 0.0227
June 0.0224 0.0216 0.0220
July 0.0229 0.0215 0.0224
August 0.0229 0.0222 0.0226
September 0.0223 0.0219 0.0221
October 0.0227 0.0220 0.0223
November 0.0225 0.0223 0.0224
December 0.0227 0.0224 0.0226