YEARLY HIGH
0.0317 BDT
YEARLY LOW
0.0278 BDT
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0299 BDT

2014 UGX to BDT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the UGX to BDT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 19, valuing the pair at 0.0317. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 0.0278.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0038 BDT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0311 to the December average rate of 0.0280, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.0317 was up 1.77% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.0311, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 158 BDT
2013 Average 151 BDT
Yearly Trough Low 139 BDT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 19.22 BDT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.0318
0.0277
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to BDT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0308, compared to 0.0290 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0018 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0308
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0290

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 0.0010 BDT (High: 0.0288 / Low: 0.0279). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 BDT (High: 0.0300 / Low: 0.0296).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0010
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0008 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0008

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2014: 0.0314) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.0297), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0018 (+6.02%).

2014 Avg (February) 0.0314
2013 Avg (February) 0.0297

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0314 0.0307 0.0311
February 0.0317 0.0307 0.0314
March 0.0310 0.0302 0.0307
April 0.0309 0.0303 0.0307
May 0.0308 0.0304 0.0307
June 0.0305 0.0297 0.0301
July 0.0300 0.0291 0.0295
August 0.0300 0.0296 0.0297
September 0.0299 0.0292 0.0296
October 0.0293 0.0286 0.0289
November 0.0288 0.0279 0.0283
December 0.0283 0.0278 0.0280