YEARLY HIGH
4.1421 BRL
YEARLY LOW
3.1173 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.4884 BRL

2016 USD to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the USD to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 4.1421. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 25, dropping to 3.1173.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0248 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.0426 to the December average rate of 3.3562, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.98% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.1421 was down 0.02% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.1431, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 USD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,710 BRL
2015 Average 16,672 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 15,587 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,123.82 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.1274
3.1095
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

USD to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.7036, compared to 3.2732 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4304 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.7036
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.2732

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.3774 BRL (High: 3.6037 / Low: 3.2262). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1229 BRL (High: 3.3551 / Low: 3.2321).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.3774
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1229

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2786 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2786

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 4.0426) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.6354), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4072 (+53.39%).

2016 Avg (January) 4.0426
2015 Avg (January) 2.6354

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.1421 3.9527 4.0426
February 4.0554 3.8916 3.9702
March 3.9449 3.5853 3.6916
April 3.6858 3.4435 3.5519
May 3.6128 3.4353 3.5383
June 3.6037 3.2262 3.4269
July 3.3551 3.2321 3.2743
August 3.2652 3.1349 3.2086
September 3.3296 3.2044 3.2541
October 3.2613 3.1173 3.1943
November 3.4417 3.1790 3.3518
December 3.5222 3.2538 3.3562