YEARLY HIGH
5.4795 BRL
YEARLY LOW
4.7248 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.9947 BRL

2023 USD to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the USD to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 5.4795. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 30, dropping to 4.7248.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7547 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.1881 to the December average rate of 4.8970, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 5.4795 was down 4.03% compared to the 2022 peak of 5.7094, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 USD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,398 BRL
2022 Average 25,818 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 23,624 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,773.50 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

5.2525
4.7574
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

USD to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.0705, compared to 4.9188 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1516 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.0705
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.9188

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was January, with a trading range of 0.4132 BRL (High: 5.4795 / Low: 5.0663). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1017 BRL (High: 4.9550 / Low: 4.8533).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4132
November Spread (Stable) ±0.1017

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1962 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1962

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 5.1881) against the same month in 2022 (average: 5.5229), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3348 (-6.06%).

2023 Avg (January) 5.1881
2022 Avg (January) 5.5229

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.4795 5.0663 5.1881
February 5.2912 5.0512 5.1795
March 5.2985 5.0633 5.2112
April 5.0762 4.9097 5.0150
May 5.0563 4.8895 4.9765
June 5.0146 4.7638 4.8525
July 4.9202 4.7248 4.7987
August 4.9884 4.7935 4.9081
September 5.0437 4.8554 4.9459
October 5.1678 4.9868 5.0625
November 4.9550 4.8533 4.9007
December 4.9657 4.8151 4.8970