YEARLY HIGH
5.8761 BRL
YEARLY LOW
4.9145 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.3972 BRL

2021 USD to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the USD to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 8, valuing the pair at 5.8761. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 24, dropping to 4.9145.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9616 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.3581 to the December average rate of 5.6553, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.55% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 5.8761 was down 0.20% compared to the 2020 peak of 5.8879, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 USD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,380 BRL
2020 Average 25,781 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 24,573 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,807.99 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

5.7176
4.9695
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

USD to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.3878, compared to 5.4066 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0188 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.3878
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.4066

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.3956 BRL (High: 5.7336 / Low: 5.3380). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2109 BRL (High: 5.2594 / Low: 5.0485).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.3956
July Spread (Stable) ±0.2109

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.2802 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2802

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2021: 5.6398) against the same month in 2020 (average: 4.8874), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7523 (+15.39%).

2021 Avg (March) 5.6398
2020 Avg (March) 4.8874

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.4898 5.1934 5.3581
February 5.6014 5.3539 5.4169
March 5.8761 5.4908 5.6398
April 5.7336 5.3380 5.5803
May 5.4441 5.2181 5.3001
June 5.1512 4.9145 5.0318
July 5.2594 5.0485 5.1641
August 5.4155 5.1508 5.2545
September 5.4431 5.1708 5.2744
October 5.6592 5.3661 5.5346
November 5.6804 5.3993 5.5567
December 5.7455 5.5331 5.6553