YEARLY HIGH
4.2066 BRL
YEARLY LOW
3.1466 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.6514 BRL

2018 USD to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the USD to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 13, valuing the pair at 4.2066. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 24, dropping to 3.1466.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0600 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.2081 to the December average rate of 3.8906, the exchange rate registered a net change of 21.28% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.2066 was up 24.81% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.3705, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 USD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,033 BRL
2017 Average 15,964 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 15,733 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,299.92 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.1871
3.1191
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

USD to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.4251, compared to 3.8777 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4526 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.4251
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.8777

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.4460 BRL (High: 4.1498 / Low: 3.7038). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0802 BRL (High: 3.9221 / Low: 3.8419).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.4460
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0802

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.3391 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3391

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 4.0981) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.1313), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9668 (+30.88%).

2018 Avg (September) 4.0981
2017 Avg (September) 3.1313

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.3125 3.1466 3.2081
February 3.2958 3.1668 3.2476
March 3.3262 3.2095 3.2793
April 3.5073 3.3035 3.4075
May 3.7399 3.5076 3.6315
June 3.9022 3.7064 3.7768
July 3.9319 3.6879 3.8193
August 4.1498 3.7038 3.9217
September 4.2066 4.0133 4.0981
October 4.0178 3.6425 3.7590
November 3.9412 3.6952 3.7775
December 3.9221 3.8419 3.8906