YEARLY HIGH
0.8908 EUR
YEARLY LOW
0.7993 EUR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.8472 EUR

2018 USD to EUR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the USD to EUR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 12, valuing the pair at 0.8908. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 0.7993.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0915 EUR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8198 to the December average rate of 0.8790, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.22% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.8908 was down 7.20% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.9599, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 USD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,454 EUR
2017 Average 4,433 EUR
Yearly Trough Low 3,997 EUR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 457.60 EUR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.8868
0.8030
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

USD to EUR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8262, compared to 0.8682 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0420 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8262
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8682

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0339 EUR (High: 0.8383 / Low: 0.8044). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0084 EUR (High: 0.8590 / Low: 0.8506).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0339
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0084

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0098 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0098

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 0.8798) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.8515), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0283 (+3.32%).

2018 Avg (November) 0.8798
2017 Avg (November) 0.8515

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.8383 0.8044 0.8198
February 0.8202 0.7993 0.8100
March 0.8164 0.8027 0.8107
April 0.8277 0.8075 0.8147
May 0.8667 0.8339 0.8460
June 0.8649 0.8472 0.8563
July 0.8590 0.8506 0.8551
August 0.8817 0.8540 0.8666
September 0.8650 0.8491 0.8583
October 0.8838 0.8628 0.8704
November 0.8908 0.8729 0.8798
December 0.8846 0.8702 0.8790