2011 UZS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.6390 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1.3149 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.4619 UGX

2011 UZS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UZS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 23, valuing the pair at 1.6390. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 1.3149.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3241 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4063 to the December average rate of 1.3659, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.88% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.6390 was up 13.40% compared to the 2010 peak of 1.4454, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UZS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,195 UGX

2010 Average 6,802 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 6,575 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,620.40 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.6308

1.3418

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UZS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4099, compared to 1.5139 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1040 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4099

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5139

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 0.1778 UGX (High: 1.6345 / Low: 1.4567). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0187 UGX (High: 1.4073 / Low: 1.3885).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.1778

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0187

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1390 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1390

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2011: 1.6067) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1.3814), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2253 (+16.31%).

2011 Avg (September) 1.6067

2010 Avg (September) 1.3814

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.4451	1.3801	1.4063
February	1.4242	1.3853	1.4065
March	1.4408	1.4043	1.4237
April	1.4147	1.3693	1.3977
May	1.4073	1.3885	1.3985
June	1.5553	1.3919	1.4267
July	1.5095	1.4685	1.4944
August	1.6204	1.5053	1.5826
September	1.6390	1.5860	1.6067
October	1.6345	1.4567	1.5865
November	1.4825	1.4034	1.4474
December	1.4237	1.3149	1.3659