YEARLY HIGH
0.5298 UGX
YEARLY LOW
0.3845 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4211 UGX

2019 UZS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the UZS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 31, valuing the pair at 0.5298. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 0.3845.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1453 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4433 to the December average rate of 0.3860, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.93% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.5298 was up 6.92% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.4955, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UZS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,649 UGX
2018 Average 2,309 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,923 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 726.32 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.4514
0.3801
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UZS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4420, compared to 0.4002 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0417 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4420
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4002

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was March, with a trading range of 0.0896 UGX (High: 0.5298 / Low: 0.4402). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0037 UGX (High: 0.3931 / Low: 0.3894).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0896
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0037

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0222 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0222

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2019: 0.4446) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.4480), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0034 (-0.76%).

2019 Avg (March) 0.4446
2018 Avg (March) 0.4480

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4478 0.4376 0.4433
February 0.4411 0.4363 0.4375
March 0.5298 0.4402 0.4446
April 0.4459 0.4416 0.4429
May 0.4473 0.4422 0.4454
June 0.4442 0.4311 0.4379
July 0.4332 0.4278 0.4301
August 0.4275 0.3924 0.4130
September 0.3931 0.3894 0.3908
October 0.3948 0.3895 0.3918
November 0.3927 0.3879 0.3896
December 0.3891 0.3845 0.3860