YEARLY HIGH
0.4955 UGX
YEARLY LOW
0.4429 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4618 UGX

2018 UZS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UZS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 27, valuing the pair at 0.4955. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 13, dropping to 0.4429.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0526 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4469 to the December average rate of 0.4463, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.13% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4955 was down 56.58% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.1411, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UZS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,478 UGX
2017 Average 4,052 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,215 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 263.01 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4883
0.4402
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UZS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4574, compared to 0.4662 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0089 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4574
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4662

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.0247 UGX (High: 0.4955 / Low: 0.4708). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0044 UGX (High: 0.4473 / Low: 0.4429).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0247
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0044

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0177 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0177

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 0.4843) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.9206), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4363 (-47.39%).

2018 Avg (June) 0.4843
2017 Avg (June) 0.9206

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4512 0.4434 0.4469
February 0.4473 0.4429 0.4442
March 0.4537 0.4451 0.4480
April 0.4603 0.4538 0.4568
May 0.4720 0.4599 0.4638
June 0.4955 0.4708 0.4843
July 0.4946 0.4719 0.4807
August 0.4823 0.4731 0.4783
September 0.4859 0.4716 0.4788
October 0.4731 0.4563 0.4611
November 0.4556 0.4486 0.4523
December 0.4495 0.4437 0.4463