2016 UZS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2352 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1.1111 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.1530 UGX

2016 UZS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UZS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 1.2352. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 1.1111.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1241 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2234 to the December average rate of 1.1269, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.89% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.2352 was down 12.74% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.4156, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UZS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,176 UGX

2015 Average 6,300 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 5,555 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 620.46 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.2334

1.1141

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UZS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1744, compared to 1.1316 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0428 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1744

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1316

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0485 UGX (High: 1.2251 / Low: 1.1766). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0098 UGX (High: 1.1793 / Low: 1.1695).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0485

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0098

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0299 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0299

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.2234) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.1726), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0508 (+4.33%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.2234

2015 Avg (January) 1.1726

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2352	1.2018	1.2234
February	1.2251	1.1766	1.2048
March	1.1793	1.1695	1.1749
April	1.1728	1.1410	1.1549
May	1.1550	1.1384	1.1456
June	1.1555	1.1366	1.1429
July	1.1531	1.1342	1.1422
August	1.1379	1.1253	1.1311
September	1.1365	1.1229	1.1304
October	1.1311	1.1179	1.1240
November	1.1494	1.1144	1.1350
December	1.1444	1.1111	1.1269