2016 XCD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

38.1141 KES

YEARLY LOW

37.1472 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

37.5806 KES

2016 XCD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the XCD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 38.1141. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 8, dropping to 37.1472.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9669 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 37.8929 to the December average rate of 37.8227, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 38.1141 was down 2.91% compared to the 2015 peak of 39.2551, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XCD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 190,570 KES

2015 Average 181,850 KES

Yearly Trough Low 185,736 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,834.65 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

37.9548

37.2123

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XCD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 37.5589, compared to 37.6023 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0434 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 37.5589

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 37.6023

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.4032 KES (High: 38.1141 / Low: 37.7109). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0600 KES (High: 37.5383 / Low: 37.4783).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4032

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0600

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1875 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1875

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 37.8929) against the same month in 2015 (average: 33.8202), the exchange rate shifted by +4.0727 (+12.04%).

2016 Avg (January) 37.8929

2015 Avg (January) 33.8202

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	38.1141	37.7109	37.8929
February	37.9094	37.6173	37.7488
March	37.6448	37.4018	37.5613
April	37.6125	37.3882	37.4612
May	37.4011	37.1472	37.2741
June	37.4780	37.3127	37.4150
July	37.6320	37.3837	37.4954
August	37.6938	37.5189	37.5674
September	37.5383	37.4783	37.5113
October	37.6111	37.4021	37.5262
November	37.7440	37.5986	37.6909
December	37.9234	37.6701	37.8227