YEARLY HIGH
38.5578 KES
YEARLY LOW
36.8467 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
37.7364 KES

2019 XCD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the XCD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 30, valuing the pair at 38.5578. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 10, dropping to 36.8467.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7112 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 37.5851 to the December average rate of 37.5327, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 38.5578 was up 0.48% compared to the 2018 peak of 38.3735, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XCD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 192,789 KES
2018 Average 187,397 KES
Yearly Trough Low 184,233 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,555.81 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

38.5223
36.9537
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XCD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 37.3798, compared to 38.0929 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7131 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 37.3798
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 38.0929

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was November, with a trading range of 0.7992 KES (High: 38.2269 / Low: 37.4276). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2090 KES (High: 37.5423 / Low: 37.3334).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.7992
May Spread (Stable) ±0.2090

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.5006 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5006

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2019: 38.1900) against the same month in 2018 (average: 37.2435), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9465 (+2.54%).

2019 Avg (July) 38.1900
2018 Avg (July) 37.2435

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 37.8187 37.1205 37.5851
February 37.2722 37.0203 37.0844
March 37.3758 36.8467 37.1377
April 37.5954 37.2389 37.4079
May 37.5423 37.3334 37.4406
June 37.8716 37.4239 37.6230
July 38.5578 37.8309 38.1900
August 38.3379 38.1085 38.2149
September 38.4638 38.0937 38.3916
October 38.4489 38.1781 38.3627
November 38.2269 37.4276 37.8656
December 38.0048 37.2241 37.5327