2018 XCD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

38.3735 KES

YEARLY LOW

36.9546 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

37.4793 KES

2018 XCD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the XCD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 38.3735. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 22, dropping to 36.9546.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4189 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 38.0653 to the December average rate of 37.8139, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 38.3735 was down 0.30% compared to the 2017 peak of 38.4902, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XCD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 191,867 KES

2017 Average 191,297 KES

Yearly Trough Low 184,773 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,094.33 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

38.1491

37.1430

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XCD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 37.4776, compared to 37.4810 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0034 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 37.4776

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 37.4810

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.6848 KES (High: 38.1821 / Low: 37.4973). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1897 KES (High: 37.4408 / Low: 37.2510).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.6848

September Spread (Stable) ±0.1897

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.5420 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5420

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 38.0653) against the same month in 2017 (average: 38.3851), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3198 (-0.83%).

2018 Avg (January) 38.0653

2017 Avg (January) 38.3851

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	38.3735	37.8531	38.0653
February	37.7070	37.2789	37.5233
March	37.5194	37.2793	37.4306
April	37.4091	36.9546	37.2268
May	37.5760	37.0554	37.2410
June	37.5179	37.2735	37.3787
July	37.4102	36.9873	37.2435
August	37.3536	37.1242	37.2534
September	37.4408	37.2510	37.3156
October	37.7088	37.2463	37.4037
November	38.1821	37.4973	37.8559
December	37.9678	37.4979	37.8139