2011 YER to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.4939 UGX

YEARLY LOW

10.7209 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

11.7659 UGX

2011 YER to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the YER to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 13.4939. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 10.7209.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.7730 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.8823 to the December average rate of 11.3509, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.31% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 13.4939 was up 24.02% compared to the 2010 peak of 10.8805, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 YER based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 67,470 UGX

2010 Average 50,613 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 53,604 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,865.22 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

13.3200

10.6606

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

YER to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.1103, compared to 12.4214 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.3110 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.1103

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.4214

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 1.4077 UGX (High: 13.4939 / Low: 12.0862). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1424 UGX (High: 11.2164 / Low: 11.0740).

October Spread (Volatile) ±1.4077

May Spread (Stable) ±0.1424

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.0479 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0479

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 13.0911) against the same month in 2010 (average: 10.5499), the exchange rate shifted by +2.5412 (+24.09%).

2011 Avg (October) 13.0911

2010 Avg (October) 10.5499

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	11.1464	10.7209	10.8823
February	11.1298	10.7498	10.9485
March	11.3141	11.0228	11.1757
April	11.1410	10.8792	11.0639
May	11.2164	11.0740	11.1521
June	12.4342	11.1557	11.4396
July	12.2494	11.8010	12.0590
August	13.2568	12.2507	12.8857
September	13.4023	12.9083	13.0984
October	13.4939	12.0862	13.0911
November	12.2946	11.6851	12.0432
December	11.8930	10.8735	11.3509