2016 YER to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

16.1926 UGX

YEARLY LOW

13.2369 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

14.2744 UGX

2016 YER to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the YER to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 16.1926. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 23, dropping to 13.2369.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.9557 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 16.0244 to the December average rate of 14.3940, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.17% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 16.1926 was down 5.67% compared to the 2015 peak of 17.1660, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 YER based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 80,963 UGX

2015 Average 75,289 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 66,185 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,778.26 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

16.2880

13.1254

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

YER to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.7367, compared to 13.8121 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.9247 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.7367

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.8121

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was April, with a trading range of 2.4432 UGX (High: 15.6802 / Low: 13.2369). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0649 UGX (High: 13.5407 / Low: 13.4758).

April Spread (Volatile) ±2.4432

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0649

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.6823 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.6823

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 16.0244) against the same month in 2015 (average: 13.2615), the exchange rate shifted by +2.7630 (+20.83%).

2016 Avg (January) 16.0244

2015 Avg (January) 13.2615

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	16.1926	15.7039	16.0244
February	16.1736	15.6037	15.9432
March	15.7034	15.5371	15.6356
April	15.6802	13.2369	13.9533
May	13.5594	13.2633	13.3889
June	13.6486	13.3753	13.4749
July	13.5952	13.4614	13.5164
August	13.5319	13.4598	13.4877
September	13.5407	13.4758	13.5180
October	13.8445	13.5087	13.7173
November	14.5063	13.8518	14.2388
December	14.5180	14.1966	14.3940