2012 YER to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

12.5505 UGX

YEARLY LOW

10.5358 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

11.6281 UGX

2012 YER to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the YER to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 6, valuing the pair at 12.5505. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 13, dropping to 10.5358.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.0148 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.0403 to the December average rate of 12.4331, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.62% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 12.5505 was down 6.99% compared to the 2011 peak of 13.4939, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 YER based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 62,753 UGX

2011 Average 58,855 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 52,679 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,073.76 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

12.6013

10.5835

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

YER to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.3497, compared to 11.9065 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5568 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.3497

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.9065

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 0.7944 UGX (High: 11.3302 / Low: 10.5358). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0921 UGX (High: 11.5538 / Low: 11.4617).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.7944

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0921

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2887 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2887

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 12.4331) against the same month in 2011 (average: 11.3509), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0822 (+9.53%).

2012 Avg (December) 12.4331

2011 Avg (December) 11.3509

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	11.3120	10.6783	11.0403
February	11.3302	10.5358	10.7516
March	11.8284	11.3440	11.5209
April	11.7346	11.5174	11.6367
May	11.7490	11.3939	11.5621
June	11.6930	11.4891	11.5867
July	11.5538	11.4617	11.5108
August	11.7246	11.5064	11.5921
September	11.9057	11.5978	11.7053
October	12.0862	11.8459	12.0123
November	12.5325	12.0039	12.1855
December	12.5505	12.3202	12.4331