YEARLY HIGH
15.6174 UGX
YEARLY LOW
13.7198 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
14.8818 UGX

2018 YER to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the YER to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 15.6174. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 5, dropping to 13.7198.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8976 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.5420 to the December average rate of 14.8366, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.03% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 15.6174 was up 6.62% compared to the 2017 peak of 14.6473, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 YER based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 78,087 UGX
2017 Average 72,260 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 68,599 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,488.05 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

15.4135
14.4602
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

YER to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.7712, compared to 14.9925 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2213 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.7712
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.9925

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was March, with a trading range of 1.0261 UGX (High: 14.7459 / Low: 13.7198). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1260 UGX (High: 14.6208 / Low: 14.4948).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.0261
January Spread (Stable) ±0.1260

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.3300 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3300

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 15.3341) against the same month in 2017 (average: 14.3432), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9909 (+6.91%).

2018 Avg (June) 15.3341
2017 Avg (June) 14.3432

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14.6208 14.4948 14.5420
February 14.6394 14.4945 14.5397
March 14.7459 13.7198 14.5509
April 14.8473 14.6911 14.7690
May 15.0812 14.8189 14.8914
June 15.6174 15.0726 15.3341
July 15.5499 14.7150 15.0041
August 15.0594 14.7261 14.9020
September 15.2897 15.0354 15.1899
October 15.2802 14.9611 15.0942
November 15.0080 14.8070 14.9281
December 14.9382 14.7498 14.8366