YEARLY HIGH
17.3845 DJF
YEARLY LOW
15.2762 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
16.4694 DJF

2014 ZAR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ZAR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 14, valuing the pair at 17.3845. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 15, dropping to 15.2762.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.1083 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 16.4100 to the December average rate of 15.5173, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 17.3845 was down 17.25% compared to the 2013 peak of 21.0084, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 ZAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 869,224 DJF
2013 Average 923,009 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 763,808 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 105,415.95 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

17.3511
15.3506
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ZAR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.6826, compared to 16.2562 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4265 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.6826
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 16.2562

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 1.1474 DJF (High: 16.9520 / Low: 15.8045). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2988 DJF (High: 16.9488 / Low: 16.6500).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.1474
August Spread (Stable) ±0.2988

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.5854 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5854

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2014: 17.1844) against the same month in 2013 (average: 19.0547), the exchange rate shifted by -1.8703 (-9.82%).

2014 Avg (May) 17.1844
2013 Avg (May) 19.0547

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 16.9520 15.8045 16.4100
February 16.6784 15.8152 16.2368
March 16.9201 16.3422 16.5693
April 17.1762 16.7145 16.9348
May 17.3845 16.8888 17.1844
June 16.9296 16.5667 16.7604
July 17.0193 16.5429 16.7679
August 16.9488 16.6500 16.7727
September 16.7486 15.8202 16.2624
October 16.4948 15.7321 16.1141
November 16.3399 15.8170 16.1027
December 16.1923 15.2762 15.5173