YEARLY HIGH
10.6156 DJF
YEARLY LOW
8.9957 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.6497 DJF

2023 ZAR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the ZAR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 10.6156. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 25, dropping to 8.9957.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6199 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.4095 to the December average rate of 9.5784, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.98% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 10.6156 was down 13.56% compared to the 2022 peak of 12.2808, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 ZAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 530,780 DJF
2022 Average 545,950 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 449,786 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 80,994.08 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

10.5187
9.2082
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ZAR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.7780, compared to 9.5214 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2566 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.7780
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.5214

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was July, with a trading range of 0.8631 DJF (High: 10.1267 / Low: 9.2636). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2782 DJF (High: 9.5446 / Low: 9.2664).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.8631
September Spread (Stable) ±0.2782

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.4756 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4756

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 10.4095) against the same month in 2022 (average: 11.4761), the exchange rate shifted by -1.0667 (-9.29%).

2023 Avg (January) 10.4095
2022 Avg (January) 11.4761

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.6156 10.2196 10.4095
February 10.4226 9.6523 9.9338
March 9.9996 9.3464 9.7250
April 9.9947 9.5755 9.7795
May 9.7139 8.9957 9.3174
June 9.8138 9.0611 9.5030
July 10.1267 9.2636 9.7606
August 9.7422 9.2758 9.4731
September 9.5446 9.2664 9.3862
October 9.5421 9.0992 9.3460
November 9.7616 9.4163 9.5842
December 9.7507 9.3316 9.5784