YEARLY HIGH
15.3404 DJF
YEARLY LOW
11.5500 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
13.5205 DJF

2018 ZAR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ZAR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 24, valuing the pair at 15.3404. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 11.5500.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.7904 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.6631 to the December average rate of 12.4616, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 15.3404 was up 5.39% compared to the 2017 peak of 14.5565, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 ZAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 767,020 DJF
2017 Average 672,457 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 577,500 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 189,520.17 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

15.3189
11.8004
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ZAR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.4717, compared to 12.5692 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.9025 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.4717
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.5692

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1.3525 DJF (High: 13.4618 / Low: 12.1094). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4749 DJF (High: 15.2050 / Low: 14.7301).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.3525
March Spread (Stable) ±0.4749

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.7790 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7790

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 15.0257) against the same month in 2017 (average: 13.5804), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4453 (+10.64%).

2018 Avg (February) 15.0257
2017 Avg (February) 13.5804

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 15.0496 14.3617 14.6631
February 15.3404 14.5868 15.0257
March 15.2050 14.7301 14.9500
April 14.9607 14.2138 14.6183
May 14.5286 13.9050 14.1762
June 14.1587 12.8352 13.3972
July 13.5478 12.8629 13.2956
August 13.4618 12.1094 12.6835
September 12.6130 11.5500 12.0936
October 12.5528 11.9773 12.2433
November 13.0229 12.3072 12.6378
December 12.9924 12.1635 12.4616