2011 ALL to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0298 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.7586 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8798 KES

2011 ALL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the ALL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 1.0298. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 0.7586.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2712 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7797 to the December average rate of 0.8235, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.62% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.0298 was up 25.80% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.8186, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ALL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,149 KES

2010 Average 3,811 KES

Yearly Trough Low 3,793 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,355.88 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.0047

0.7592

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ALL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8398, compared to 0.9198 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0799 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8398

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9198

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.1086 KES (High: 0.9520 / Low: 0.8434). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0246 KES (High: 0.8740 / Low: 0.8494).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1086

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0246

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0876 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0876

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 0.9843) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.8098), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1744 (+21.54%).

2011 Avg (October) 0.9843

2010 Avg (October) 0.8098

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.7964	0.7586	0.7797
February	0.8134	0.7847	0.7971
March	0.8586	0.8187	0.8420
April	0.8708	0.8407	0.8557
May	0.8740	0.8494	0.8630
June	0.9248	0.8714	0.9014
July	0.9342	0.9052	0.9181
August	0.9712	0.9294	0.9515
September	0.9918	0.9190	0.9445
October	1.0298	0.9561	0.9843
November	0.9520	0.8434	0.8967
December	0.8787	0.7878	0.8235