2019 ALL to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9583 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.8987 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9282 KES

2019 ALL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ALL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 25, valuing the pair at 0.9583. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 10, dropping to 0.8987.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0596 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9325 to the December average rate of 0.9214, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.9583 was down 0.86% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.9666, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ALL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,791 KES

2018 Average 4,687 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,494 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 297.91 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.9529

0.9035

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ALL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9215, compared to 0.9348 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0133 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9215

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9348

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 0.0301 KES (High: 0.9534 / Low: 0.9233). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0109 KES (High: 0.9368 / Low: 0.9259).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0301

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0109

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0185 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0185

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 0.9478) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.9243), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0235 (+2.54%).

2019 Avg (August) 0.9478

2018 Avg (August) 0.9243

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9460	0.9196	0.9325
February	0.9242	0.9079	0.9139
March	0.9167	0.8987	0.9076
April	0.9243	0.9012	0.9142
May	0.9272	0.9149	0.9202
June	0.9534	0.9233	0.9407
July	0.9556	0.9440	0.9488
August	0.9583	0.9320	0.9478
September	0.9474	0.9273	0.9395
October	0.9368	0.9259	0.9309
November	0.9360	0.9122	0.9206
December	0.9336	0.9126	0.9214