2016 ALL to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.8407 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.7881 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8181 KES

2016 ALL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ALL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 18, valuing the pair at 0.8407. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 0.7881.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0526 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8053 to the December average rate of 0.7967, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.8407 was down 2.28% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.8603, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ALL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,204 KES

2015 Average 3,903 KES

Yearly Trough Low 3,941 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 262.87 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.8351

0.7932

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ALL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8192, compared to 0.8169 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0022 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8192

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8169

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0361 KES (High: 0.8292 / Low: 0.7930). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0088 KES (High: 0.8309 / Low: 0.8220).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0361

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0088

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0108 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0108

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 0.8316) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.8174), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0142 (+1.74%).

2016 Avg (August) 0.8316

2015 Avg (August) 0.8174

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8132	0.8007	0.8053
February	0.8299	0.8039	0.8177
March	0.8297	0.8000	0.8170
April	0.8335	0.8203	0.8279
May	0.8382	0.8124	0.8235
June	0.8348	0.8137	0.8235
July	0.8277	0.8166	0.8212
August	0.8407	0.8217	0.8316
September	0.8309	0.8220	0.8271
October	0.8290	0.8104	0.8176
November	0.8292	0.7930	0.8075
December	0.8074	0.7881	0.7967