2012 ALL to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.8150 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.7419 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.7815 KES

2012 ALL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ALL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 26, valuing the pair at 0.8150. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 24, dropping to 0.7419.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0731 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8031 to the December average rate of 0.8068, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.45% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.8150 was down 20.86% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.0298, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ALL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,075 KES

2011 Average 4,401 KES

Yearly Trough Low 3,709 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 365.55 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.8121

0.7476

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ALL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7830, compared to 0.7800 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0030 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7830

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7800

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was September, with a trading range of 0.0336 KES (High: 0.7995 / Low: 0.7659). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0146 KES (High: 0.7984 / Low: 0.7838).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0336

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0146

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0143 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0143

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 0.8068) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.8235), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0167 (-2.03%).

2012 Avg (December) 0.8068

2011 Avg (December) 0.8235

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8118	0.7927	0.8031
February	0.7971	0.7792	0.7893
March	0.7902	0.7692	0.7827
April	0.7921	0.7752	0.7815
May	0.7837	0.7656	0.7739
June	0.7738	0.7579	0.7673
July	0.7695	0.7419	0.7530
August	0.7668	0.7474	0.7589
September	0.7995	0.7659	0.7843
October	0.7984	0.7838	0.7909
November	0.7970	0.7771	0.7860
December	0.8150	0.7959	0.8068