2013 ARS to BDT Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

16.2663 BDT

YEARLY LOW

11.9148 BDT

YEARLY AVERAGE

14.3551 BDT

2013 ARS to BDT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ARS to BDT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 16.2663. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 11.9148.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.3515 BDT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 16.1079 to the December average rate of 12.2641, the exchange rate registered a net change of -23.86% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 16.2663 was down 16.60% compared to the 2012 peak of 19.5045, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 81,332 BDT

2012 Average 90,222 BDT

Yearly Trough Low 59,574 BDT

Transaction Impact: A difference of 21,757.54 BDT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

16.4923

11.8797

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BDT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.3316, compared to 13.3786 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.9530 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.3316

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.3786

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was December, with a trading range of 0.7512 BDT (High: 12.6660 / Low: 11.9148). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2363 BDT (High: 15.8875 / Low: 15.6512).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.7512

February Spread (Stable) ±0.2363

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.6571 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6571

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 16.1079) against the same month in 2012 (average: 19.2757), the exchange rate shifted by -3.1678 (-16.43%).

2013 Avg (January) 16.1079

2012 Avg (January) 19.2757

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	16.2663	15.9615	16.1079
February	15.8875	15.6512	15.7520
March	15.6827	15.2447	15.4551
April	15.2575	14.9958	15.1594
May	15.0814	14.7141	14.9010
June	14.7556	14.4797	14.6140
July	14.4741	14.1375	14.3146
August	14.1590	13.7028	13.9394
September	13.7205	13.3896	13.5460
October	13.4136	13.1325	13.2861
November	13.1312	12.6571	12.9213
December	12.6660	11.9148	12.2641