2019 ARS to BDT Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.2694 BDT

YEARLY LOW

1.4027 BDT

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.8052 BDT

2019 ARS to BDT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to BDT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 14, valuing the pair at 2.2694. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 1.4027.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8667 BDT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.2436 to the December average rate of 1.4193, the exchange rate registered a net change of -36.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 2.2694 was down 49.82% compared to the 2018 peak of 4.5229, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,347 BDT

2018 Average 16,001 BDT

Yearly Trough Low 7,013 BDT

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,333.62 BDT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

2.3260

1.3369

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BDT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.0413, compared to 1.5691 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4721 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.0413

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5691

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.5052 BDT (High: 1.9079 / Low: 1.4027). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0071 BDT (High: 1.4223 / Low: 1.4152).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.5052

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0071

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.3528 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3528

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 2.2436) against the same month in 2018 (average: 4.3708), the exchange rate shifted by -2.1272 (-48.67%).

2019 Avg (January) 2.2436

2018 Avg (January) 4.3708

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.2694	2.2172	2.2436
February	2.2591	2.1208	2.1911
March	2.1130	1.9197	2.0374
April	2.0286	1.8401	1.9589
May	1.9030	1.8662	1.8825
June	1.9952	1.8749	1.9341
July	2.0346	1.9260	1.9928
August	1.9079	1.4027	1.6400
September	1.5292	1.4199	1.4931
October	1.4678	1.4138	1.4485
November	1.4269	1.4138	1.4209
December	1.4223	1.4152	1.4193