YEARLY HIGH
0.5975 BDT
YEARLY LOW
0.1356 BDT
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4117 BDT

2023 ARS to BDT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the ARS to BDT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.5975. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.1356.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4619 BDT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5758 to the December average rate of 0.2014, the exchange rate registered a net change of -65.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 0.5975 was down 28.45% compared to the 2022 peak of 0.8351, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,988 BDT
2022 Average 3,625 BDT
Yearly Trough Low 678 BDT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,309.68 BDT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

0.6132
0.1640
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BDT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5078, compared to 0.3157 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1920 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5078
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3157

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was December, with a trading range of 0.1701 BDT (High: 0.3057 / Low: 0.1356). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0016 BDT (High: 0.3153 / Low: 0.3137).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1701
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0016

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2023. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1110 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1110

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 0.5758) against the same month in 2022 (average: 0.8268), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2510 (-30.36%).

2023 Avg (January) 0.5758
2022 Avg (January) 0.8268

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5975 0.5614 0.5758
February 0.5772 0.5300 0.5545
March 0.5409 0.5064 0.5229
April 0.5135 0.4730 0.4934
May 0.4789 0.4477 0.4644
June 0.4465 0.4218 0.4356
July 0.4218 0.3944 0.4082
August 0.3952 0.3120 0.3438
September 0.3157 0.3124 0.3138
October 0.3153 0.3137 0.3148
November 0.3167 0.3059 0.3124
December 0.3057 0.1356 0.2014